The Havana Paradigm 1

In 1982, Cuban Intelligence defector Gerardo Peraza told the US Senate that Cuban Intelligence viewed the US as very strong economically with a very dangerous ability for a wide range of technical intelligence collection.  Havana’s analysis also led them to conclude that US Intelligence was unable to effectively use its vast human resources.  More specifically, the regime leadership believed that the US’s understanding of foreign threats and ideas was weak, as was America’s will to confront such concerns.  Since at least the 1970s, Cuba knew that the US consistently relied and trusted its technical intelligence more than it did its HUMINT (i.e. human spies).  There is no indication that Havana’s assessment of these core beliefs has changed.

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